Game Day Thread -- Senators at Canadiens

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Ottawa Senators (37-30-5) Vs Montreal Canadiens (36-29-7) @ 7:30pm, Bell Centre Television: Sportsnet

Including tonight's game, there are ten games left on the schedule. And depending on your perspective, it's plenty of time to turn things around or piss away a playoff position. According to Sports Club Stats, Ottawa still has an 89.6-percent chance to make the playoffs -- a number that still seems favorably high when you consider that the ninth place Thrashers are only 4 points back of the 5th place Senators.

What bodes well for Ottawa is that the Thrashers are the only team on the outside of the current Eastern Conference playoff picture who could conceivably catch the Senators and usurp them from the playoff picture. That doesn't mean Ottawa's comfortable with their recent plight.

A few days after Bryan Murray came out and indicated that the team's fortune was strictly in the hands of the players, with a 1-7-1 record in their last 9 games, it now seems as though management's looking for any kind of spark and has taken matters into its own hands.

Cue the recall of Zach Smith.

"Zack arguably could probably have been up here for a good chunk of this season. Sometimes it's been a numbers game, and right now we feel we've got ourselves in a situation where we could really use his youthful energy." — Clouston on what he hopes 21-year-old call-up Zack Smith will bring to the floundering squad.

Originally, I had assumed that Smith was recalled as a prospective replacement for the injured Milan Michalek, but that's not the case. To make room for Smith on the roster, Ryan Shannon has been scratched from tonight's game. Consequently, it begs the question, if Smith's recall can't inspire the Senators, where does the team go from here?

If the answer turns out to be Mike Brodeur, then I may consider alcohol as a viable coping mechanism.

Here's my prediction that was featured in James Gordon's Ottawa Citizen Prediction Panel...

Senators 2, Canadiens 4

This Senators team is more overrated and confusing than a season 6 episode of Lost. For a team whose confidence is as fragile as Ottawa, it will be interesting to see how they respond to the urgency of playing for sole possession of 5th place in the Eastern Conference.

Here are the lines for tonight's game:

  • Cullen-Spezza-Alfredsson
  • Foligno-Fisher-Kovalev
  • Ruutu-Kelly-Neil
  • Smith-Regin-Winchester
Brian Elliott gets the start while Filip Kuba will miss tonight's action because of some undisclosed injury.

Michalek's Injury

According to Sportsnet, the leg injury that Milan Michalek suffered when he collided with a goal post in Atlanta, may be worse than originally expected. Michalek will undergo a MRI and further tests on his knee sometime this afternoon.

Leclaire Vs Elliott

Watching the Senators goaltending situation unfold reminds me a lot of the Senators 2007-08 season. Like Ray Emery, Pascal Leclaire has been given every opportunity to reclaim his job but has failed miserably to re-assert himself as the number one guy. Admittedly, Cory Clouston has said that the goaltender debate is drawing to a conclusion...

"We're going to have to have one guy, I'm not going to say carry the whole rest of the load, but one guy is definitely going to have to step up."

Melnyk Cashes His Chips In

Since November 24th, 2009, The Euge has sold his 9,635,800 shares in BioVail, the pharmaceutical company that generated his fortune. So for those keeping track at home, Melnyk can sell high on the BioVail stock, but Sens management still doesn't understand the premise of selling high on some of its players.

Friday Rant

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kennybatman

Where do I even begin?

Honestly, I'm at a loss for words. When the most satisfying point of the Senators 1-6-1 post-Olympic record is the demotion of Brian Lee, things are pretty glum. It's a sickening feeling having to draw comparisons between the current play of the goaltenders and Darrin Madeley. The team's defensive zone coverage has been sloppy. Thanks to the en vogue headshots and the accompanied mass hysteria, Andy Sutton can't even hit an opponent without drawing a penalty. The top six forwards can't fill the net with any sort of consistency. And when I mention yesterday that it might be a good idea for Milan Michalek and Jason Spezza to be split apart, Milan falls into the opposing net's goalpost and injures his leg. Due to Michalek's injury, the Senators have now played a game and a half this season with a completely healthy roster. To add insult to injury, the only thing more tiresome than the way Ottawa is playing out the string is the way that the Interwebs have become inundated with Thrash references. (Ed. note: Read the headlines here, here, and here.)

After sticking with the team through the past two tumultuous seasons, watching this team unravel after it looked like it had turned the corner, has been one giant kick in the nuts. These Senators are squandering points and an opportunity to advance deeper into the postseason. The more the team slides in the Eastern Conference standings, the greater the inevitability that they would have to face either of Pittsburgh or Washington in the first or second round.

As the team continues to play out the string, it's difficult not to look at Ottawa's assembled roster and wonder whatever happened to that resilient group of players who overcame adversity and won 14 of 16 games. During that stretch, the team was never carried by one or two players. Instead, in a rather likable quality, the Senators made due through the collective efforts of their players. But now that the team is losing games, that collective effort and cohesion has disappeared. As a fan,  I can't help but get the impression that this team is waiting for one or two players to step up and carry this team. I'm just not sure that Ottawa even has these types of players on their current roster.

Daniel Alfredsson used to be that guy. But after accumulating the third most amount of points in the NHL from 2000 to 2009, he's starting to look human at 37 years of age. Despite his salary, Jason Spezza has never demonstrated that he can be anything but an offensive numbers guy who can make the players around him better. While they make for fantastic complementary players, Mike Fisher and Milan Michalek do enough cock teasing to make you think that they're better than they actually are. Like with his plane, Alexei Kovalev has put the remainder of the season on autopilot. Matt Cullen looks like he's trying to do too much. And it really doesn't help matters that Cory Clouston has juggled line combinations more often than Don Brennan has juggled angles to shit on Ottawa's goaltending.

As we talked about with Lee Versage on the latest episode of the podcast, if Ottawa falls short (again),  where do they go from here?

Versage suggested that the only change that Ottawa would likely do is retool their blueline -- since it's expected that both Patrick Wiercioch and Jared Cowen will make a push to make the roster.

For me, that statement depressed the hell out of me. If Ottawa fell short, it would seem like one giant leap of faith to invest that heavily into two rookies to make a difference on the roster. For a roster chalk full of uncharismatic, overpaid underachievers, that wouldn't be good enough. And ultimately, within the next 5 or 6 months, we will finally be able to truly evaluate Bryan Murray's tenure thus far. With his spotty trade history and his Muckler'esque willingess to move draft picks for rentals or shitty players (Ed. note: My apologies to Chris Campoli and his family and friends), Murray can't afford to let Volchenkov walk and  have one or both of Cowen and Wiercioch pan out. For years, this team has tried to augment its core by supplementing the roster with depth players and it's never worked out.

As Ian Mendes mentioned on his blog yesterday, Ottawa's not as good as they were during their win streak and they definitely aren't as bad as they are now. When Ottawa made that Stanley Cup Finals appearance, management got complacent and fell into that trap of overpaying to keep the team together. (Ed. note: In retrospect, the biggest condemnation of the character of the core was demonstrated when Murray overpaid to keep Chris Neil in the fold because they felt they could ill afford to lose his leadership within their room. What more do you need to know about the fragility of the rest of the roster?)

Unfortunately, it's human nature to look at this team and wonder how they'll be able to get better when management has the core of this team locked up long term and they've never given any indication that they're willing to make some difficult business decisions. Every move has been reactive, not pro-active.

What we've been left with is a middle of the road NHL team, that's become so obsessed with just getting back into the postseason that we've forgotten that the ultimate goal should be to win the Stanley Cup. As a fan, I'm concerned that Melnyk is too hands on with management -- From the whispers that he was solely responsible for bringing in Kovalev to today's news via Team 1200's Twitter that he spoke directly to Bryan Murray some players today. Fair or not, I can't help but worry that he's some overbearing cross between George Steinbrenner and Mark Cuban.

Like it or not, games are running out on the season and there's this misconception that there's an inherent pressure for this team of overpaid underachievers to get their shit together. There isn't. Ownership and management have never put  the onus of blame on the players and I'm starting to lose confidence that they ever will.

The 6th Sens Podcast -- Episode 16 ft. Lee Versage

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With the nation's capital in full blown panic mode, it's fitting that we had to work around a fire alarm to record this week's version of the podcast. Joining us on this week's show was Lee Versage, radio host of the Team 1200's Sportscall program that airs weekdays from 10am to noon.

As always, you can subscribe/download/stream the episode or entire catalogue of episodes from Itunes. Or you can download the file by right-clicking and saving this file. Or you can simply stream the episode below. We hope you enjoy it. If you have any questions or comments about the podcast, please leave us some feedback in the comment thread below. Thanks for listening, we hope you enjoy the show.

Here's the tracklisting for the episode: The White Stripes Icky Thump; The Clash Jimmy Jazz; The Rolling Stones Harlem Shuffle; and The Soft Pack C'mon.


Post Game Haiku #71

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Lost nine and the game.
It can only get better.
Hug it out bitches.
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Discussion: Michalek and Spezza

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Not all eyes will be glued to tonight's Bruins v. Panthers game. In the nation's capital, most of the Sens Army will be watching tonight's Senators action like that guy from the Score a Honda commercial. Crying while watching the game peering through the cracks between their fingers. Right now, it seems as though every topic of discussion has polarized the fanbase and a quick glance around the Senators message boards and blogs will reveal that there actually is a sect of the populace who are dumb enough to clamour for the return of Jonathan Cheechoo and or Mike Brodeur. To be succint, fans are collectively losing their shit.

One thing that I've noticed hasn't been talked about, is the fact that for the bulk of the season, Cory Clouston has paired several forwards together: Ruutu and Kelly; Fisher and Kovalev; and Michalek and Spezza. For better or for worse, there have been times when the aforementioned first two pairs have been split apart but for whatever reason, despite the seeming lack of chemistry (or production in Michalek's case) Clouston has refused to remove Michalek from Spezza's wing.

Looking at Michalek's numbers, it's not difficult to discern that this will be his least productive season since his rookie campaign. Despite his team leading 22-goals, he has only scored 5 times since December 19th and he has an underwhelming 11 assists while registering significant minutes on the power play and alongside Alfredsson and Spezza. This situation reminds me a lot of Cito Gaston's mindnumbing unwillingness to remove Vernon Wells from the cleanup hitter spot in the Blue Jays lineup Although on paper, he's the best left-winger that this team has, his and the team's respective struggles have made me question whether or not there may be a better fit for Jason Spezza on the left-side.

 

Post Game Haiku #70

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Should have picked the Leafs.
Have they hit rock bottom yet?
What would Jesus do?

*** Post your own haikus or use the comment thread to vent.

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Game Day Thread -- Senators Vs Toronto Maple Leafs

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Toronto Maple Leafs (23-34-12) Vs Ottawa Senators (37-27-5) @ SBP, 7:30pm ET; Television: Rogers Sportsnet

Cory Clouston has been using some psychology to inspire his team to improve their play as the season winds down. If you haven't heard, Clouston has told his players to play with some urgency and treat each remaining game like it's a playoff game. Good thing it starts tonight against a Toronto team that Ottawa's never beaten in the postseason. I wonder how many insecure Sens fans cowered their cubicle because they have been traumatized by their Leafs-supporting co-workers after four playoff choke jobs.

Here's my prediction that ran in the Citizen...

Senators 4, Leafs 3

With 17 goals against, Ottawa's still in the top third of the NHL for least amount of goals allowed since the Olympic break. If they could remedy their scoring, they'll be in a comfortable position heading into the playoffs. That being said, I'm hoping that Luca Caputi isn't the only Italian whose addition to a roster can inspire a team. With the probable returns of Chris Campoli and Nick Foligno, I have to pick the Senators to win at home, a place where they've played well -- 23-9-4 -- this season.

Thanks to Bruce Garrioch, here are the lines and defence pairings that were used at practice today:

Forwards:

Michalek-Spezza-Foligno
Kelly-Cullen-Alfredsson
Shannon-Regin-Kovalev
Ruutu-Winchester-Neil

Defence:
Phillips-Volchenkov
Sutton-Karlsson
Carkner-Campoli

Brian Elliott gets the nod in nets tonight while Mike Fisher is out because of an undisclosed upper body injury. There have been no reports that Fish is out with a swollen head. To make room for Campoli on the blueline, the organization has optioned Brian Lee back to Binghamton.

With news that the Senators have lost out on the services of unrestricted UMass forward Casey Wellman (Ed. note: He signed today with the Minnesota Wild), a number of papers are now reporting that last year's bidding war for Tyler Bozak's services came down to the Leafs and Senators.

Also, there's Senators inspired steaming pile of shit emanating from the 'buzz involving trading Volchenkov's rights to Edmonton for Cogliano before July 1st. There are even fabricated rumblings that Jason Spezza could possibly get dealt to Edmonton. (He won't. He has a NTC that kicked in last summer.) If the Spezza rumour was true, the level of unintentional comedy that would ensue from the Senators trying to convince another star player to waive his movement clause to go to Edmonton would be off the charts.

The Poster Child For Offensive Struggles

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Lately the Senators are doing have been doing their best Adrian Peterson impersonation by repeatedly fumbling the ball when it matters most. With a 1-4-1 record in their past six games, Ottawa's squandering their opportunity to secure a home ice advantage for the playoffs. While it's not a fait accompli, it is disconcerting when you look at the team's polarizing home-and-away splits:

  • Home: 23-9-4
  • Away: 14-18-1

Like I mentioned in my last article, it hasn't been the Senators ability to keep the puck out of the net that has let this team down. Since the Olympic break, the team has actually been in the top third of the League for the least number of goals allowed. Unfortunately, they have also done a pretty good job keeping the puck out of their opposition's net. So what's been the problem?

“He’s like everybody else on our team, just having trouble scoring. You can’t just single one guy out and say he’s playing poorly. To me, it’s no different than you ‘win as a team and lose as a team.’ There’s another 10 or 12 guys we count on to provide at least a little offence. He has to use his creativity.” ~ Cory Clouston

Now who is The Little General referring to?

Alexei Kovalev of course. The poster child for the Ottawa Senators’ offensive struggles.TM (Ed. note: TM by the Ottawa Citizen's Ken Warren.)

Like Warren mentioned in his most recent article, in the six games since the break, Kovalev has zero goals, zero assists, a plus/minus of minus-six and 10 shots on net. Impeccable numbers by Bill Muckalt standards but not exactly the kind of production that one expects from a dynamic offensive talent who is expected to carry the load on Ottawa's second line. For Kovalev, I understand why he gets a bum rap since he's not that defensively apt. Unlike some of Ottawa's other skilled forwards, when he's not producing offensively, he's rarely contributing in other facets of the game. I get that.

However, it has become laughable at how much press AK-27 gets when he's not producing. (Ed. note: This isn't a gripe against Warren, I enjoy his work.)  Regardless of this 6-game stretch of uninspired play, based on proportionate ice-time, Kovalev has been the Senators' most productive forward. There are others who are worthy of having their productivity questioned:

  • Daniel Alfredsson: 1 goal in his past 11 games.
  • Milan Michalek: 2 goals and 1 assist in his past 8 games. He's also on course to post his worst point total totals since his rookie season. I'm a bit
  • Mike Fisher: 2 goals and 3 assists in his past 13 games.
  • Ryan Shannon: The diminutive forward hasn't scored since January 19th and only has 5 goals on the year. Ottawa shouldn't have had to rely on him to produce, but I think everyone expected more out of Shannon than he has shown thus far.
  • Peter Regin: Hasn't scored in his past 6 games. In fact, his rookie season has reminded me a lot of Antoine Vermette's: He has shown some flashes of offensive brilliance but needs to finish more of scoring opportunities.

Like Cory Clouston said, it's a systemic problem that goes beyond just Kovalev. More media attention and focus needs to be shed on the collective because this whole enigma angle is played out and tiresome.

Cheechoo Train Riding The Buses

The San Jose Mercury News ran a feature detailing Jonathan Cheechoo's struggles in the minors. According to the paper, Cheechoo is among those caught off guard by the latest career twist.

"I didn't see this coming," he said.

And now I think I know why Cheechoo has struggled to return to his Rocket Richard Trophy winning form.  He obviously can no longer see.

Carkner vs. Orr

The progression of these fights mirrors my interest level in the progression of the Rocky movies. Wake me up when one of Carkner's fights is ready to stop the next Cold War.

Sunday Drivel

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What ever happened to that old NHL adage that the first home game after a long road trip was supposed to be beneficial to the visiting team?

After watching the first period of last night's game on PVR, I wasn't able to stomach any more and had to turn it off. Like a boxer who's been knocked out for the first time, the Ottawa Senators have lost their competitive edge. In fact, it's eerily reminiscent of the 2007 Stanley Cup team that endured a ridiculously long layoff between the Eastern Conference Finals and the Stanley Cup Finals and came out flatter than Kiera Knightley's chest. After winning 14 of 16 before the Olympic break, the Senators have responded by collectively shitting the bed -- Amassing an atrocious 1-4-1 record over the 6-game post-break span and compiling an 8 goals for total that only Bill Muckalt could appreciate.

For whatever reason, this team has maintained their historical inability to overcome any Olympic break scheduling.

Is it alarming?

Definitely.

Am I worried about it?

Not really.

Granted, the one game on their roadtrip that they did manage to win came against the worst team in the NHL. However, I'm not that concerned ... yet. As it stands, there are far too many games left between now and the end of the season to get wrapped up in one offensive dry spell. If a few of the top six forwards start producing again (Ed. note: Don't look now but Daniel Alfredsson only has one goal in his past 11 games.), the team will be fine. That Vancouver game notwithstanding, it's not like they're giving up a ton of goals. With 17 goals allowed since the Olympic break and with a few games in hand, they are still in the upper third of the NHL for least number of goals allowed.

GM Meetings

Not so long ago, I received an email from Mike C., that asked why NHL General Managers were the ones primarily responsible for the league's rule changes. In a profession of such turnover, why should this generation's version of MacLean, Milbury and Muckler be this empowered?

It's a fair question and it's one that I'm not entirely sure of the answer. If it were up to me, I probably would have leave these kinds of decisions to the NHLPA player representatives and the league office. But for whatever reason, it's left up to the GMs and it has left me somewhat intrigued and leaves me wondering whether guys like Doug MacLean and Mike Milbury are bitter that they're no longer the alpha dogs of the NHL's circle.

It's because of this incessant need to be in the spotlight that I really wish the NHL would capitalize on the reality television boon and produce a program that casts a number of failed GMs and has them live together in the same house. Obviously the house would have to be located in a city where there's nothing to do and where the GMs would be easily recognized and lauded. A place like Saskatoon would suffice. The next step would be casting:

  • Mike Milbury: The meathead who thinks he's smarter than everyone else.
  • Bob Gainey: A man who has lost his way.
  • John Ferguson Jr.: The young guy who talks a big game but rarely delivers.
  • John Muckler: The aggressive drunk.
  • Doug MacLean: Like his arrangement with Balsillie, he's involved only because he'll do anything for cash.
  • Cliff Fletcher: Only in the house because he'll react to situations by making this face.

Who wouldn't want to watch a television program in which the following could conceivably happen:

  • Milbury would saunter up to a bar and order a rye and ginger for $5. Immediately upon paying for the drink, a local resident would offer him $2 for the same drink. Because he's Milbury, he takes the deal. Scorned and now without a drink, Mike goes back to the bar and puts down a lifetime offer on rye and cokes. (Thinking it's a stroke of genius on his part.) A few minutes later, he remembers that he doesn't even like rye and coke.
  • After a few drinks, Muckler parades around a local establishment like it's one of Eugene Melnyk's luxury suites -- smacking bottles off of tables and making overly theatrical hand gestures. When he eventually becomes cognizant of the fact that no one at the bar is impressed, he calls Rob Ray to stroke his ego.
  • John Ferguson Jr. reguarly brags about how he's going to bring some high-quality females home with him. Instead, he overspends and only brings home role-players.
  • Recognizing him at a bar, a local resident strikes up a conversation with Doug MacLean and asks the question of whether or not MacLean thinks a NHL team would be viable in the prairies. When MacLean says no, the local would raise his ire by retorting, "But Columbus has a team." Mike Milbury would inevitably have to invervene in the situation by beating the local down with a shoe.
  • Noticing a small group of Dukhobors at the bar, Milbury promptly tells the bouncer to "Get that Eurotrash out of here!"
  • The housemates bicker over whose turn it is to clean the kitchen mess before Muckler chimes in and says, "Screw it. We'll let the next tenant clean up after our mess."

A Thought On Phil Kessel

Lately, it seems as though every time I turn on a sports highlight program, Phil Kessel has scored another goal by doing his patented circle the right faceoff circle before burying a wrist shot. I don't want to take anything away from Kessel, but why teams have not keyed in on Kessel's tendencies via advanced pro scouting is beyond me.

Congratulations to Boo Boo

I'm not entirely sure who Gene Florcyk was but I do know that the Ottawa Sun's Bruce Garrioch is a finalist for the Gene Florcyk Memorial Award for Sports Writing (over 25,000 circulation). Bruce was nominated for his coverage of this past summer's Dany Heatley coverage thereby proving that good things can happen when you throw selfish assholes, who have dilated pupils, under the bus.

Senators in on Wellman?

HNIC's Elliotte Friedman has revealed on Twitter that the Senators are in heavily on the California-born, UMass forward Casey Wellman. Wellman's a NCAA prospect at UMass who will be turning 23 later this fall. As an undrafted NCAA overager, once he decides to turn pro, he is free to sign with anyone. You can read about Wellman here, here and read his statistics here.

The 6th Sens Podcast -- Episode 15 ft. Volchenkov's Agent, Jay Grossman

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Here's a startling admission, last night the Ottawa Senators lost to the Calgary Flames 2-0 and I didn't really mind. With much being made of Anton Volchenkov's impending UFA status, Tim and I had an opportunity to spend the better part of the night talking with Volchenkov's agent and the President of Puck Agency, Jay Grossman.

For anyone with a passing interest in Anton Volchenkov's situation, this interview is worth listening to. Also, if you want to stay tuned with what's going on with Mr. Grossman, be sure to check out Puck Agency's blog and if you use Twitter and haven't done so already, I'd highly recommend following Jay Grossman's Tweets.

As always, you can subscribe/download/stream the episode or entire catalogue of episodes from Itunes. Or you can download the file by right-clicking and saving this file. Or you can simply stream the episode below. We hope you enjoy it. If you have any questions or comments about the podcast, please leave us some feedback in the comment thread below. Thanks for listening, we hope you enjoy the show.

Here's the tracklisting for the podcast: Us3 Cantaloop; Propellerheads History Repeating; The Minutemen This Ain't No Picnic; and Firehose Brave Captain.