The big news from yesterday’s practice in Boston pertained to the health of two of Ottawa’s centers. After lengthy period of time in which there were very few and relevant updates on the Peter Regin, the Senators organization revealed that the Danish center underwent a successful surgical procedure on his left shoulder that will keep him out of action for the next four to six months. Barring some miraculous postseason run, it’s likely that Regin’s ailing shoulder has ended his season for the second consecutive year.
It’s the latest in a series of disappointments that have plagued him since he broke into the league as a promising rookie during the 2009-10 campaign. While injuries and opportunity have contributed to some inconsistent and modest offensive production, Regin has always been a responsible two-way center who posted some impressive puck possession metrics throughout his career. According to the advanced statistical metrics at Behind the Net, in 2009-10, Regin’s relative Corsi of 18.9 led Senators players and he followed that up by posting an 8.4 in 2010-11. (Note: Per Behind the Net’s FAQ, Corsi measures puck possession by using a simple plus/minus-like rating of the total number of shots on goal, missed shots and blocked shots directed at the opposing net while a player is on the ice at even strength. Relative Corsi refers to the difference in Corsi between a player's on-ice performance and his team's performance when he's on the bench. The higher a player’s rating, the better.)
Having entered this season as the Senators’ second line center, Regin now finds himself on the sidelines and without a contract for next season. As an impending RFA, there are whispers that Regin may not even be tendered a qualifying offer by the organization so that he would remain under team control. With the addition and production of Kyle Turris and an influx of prospects like Jakub Silfverberg, Mark Stone and Mika Zibanejad expected to be in competition for top nine jobs next fall, he could be cut loose.
Per article 10.2 (a) (ii) (C) of the NHL’s CBA, since Regin’s NHL Salary is equal to or greater than $1,000,000 for this season (it’s $1.050M), his qualifying offer must be at least 100-percent of this season’s salary so that his rights are retained. Working under the assumption that Regin is offered a qualifying offer, if he accepts, he has the opportunity to determine whether he receives a one or two year contract.
Although I think it’s far too early to start throwing around the phrase career threatening injury, for the cost of one million dollars per annum, it seems like paltry sum to risk losing a player who can either help the current roster or could be packaged in a trade. (Note: with impending UFA centers like Konopka and Winchester and Zibanejad profiling as more of a winger, Ottawa may need more depth at center this summer.)
Speaking of Winchester, he’s the other center who I was alluding to in the first paragraph of this post. Yesterday, he was skating at practice for the first time since suffering a concussion after being hit from behind by Paul Gaustad.
Nikita Filatov Goes Back to Junior:
According to Pavel Lysenkov of Sovietsky Sport, CSKA has demoted Nikita Filatov from their KHL team to their junior team. Shit, and I thought Peter Regin was having a rough season. This, kids, is why you stay in school. As easy as it would be to pile on here and criticize the player for listening to the advice being given out by Paul MacLean or Bryan Murray, this latest event is the exact reason why Filatov made the right decision to chase the money and go back to Russia. Given Ottawa's depth in their pipeline, it was only matter of time before Filatov was passed in the depth chart by a number of other forward prospects anyways. Assuming that he didn't sign a two-way KHL contract, at least he maximized his earnings - which is exactly what the player wanted.
Filatov obviously needs to grow. It doesn't help anything to exclaim the point from every angle. Third round picks typically take 2-4 years to develop into NHL contributors. As Filatov was acquired with full knowledge of his shortcomings and unique
circumstances, I think fans should start the development clock from the time the Sens acquired him.
In the next 2-4 years, he'll have plenty of mornings to splash cold water on his face and confront the opportunity he has. Given that strength and conditioning are the only things stopping him from contributing in the NHL, I think there are decent odds he comes back better. A year or two away may even let him develop a better shot and finishing instincts. And if he doesn't come back stronger from the string of setbacks he's experienced to date, little Niki is probably not a guy you want to skate with into the playoffs.
Maybe people will at least stop trying to argue that Filly wasn't given a fair shot to perform here now. He clearly doesn't have the game to play at any sort of high level league right now. It was very obvious when he was here.
Tough situation with Regin. Ideally you don't qualify him and hope to get him on a cheaper, one-year deal. The problem is there's a pretty high chance somebody else would take a shot on him and then we lose him for nothing. I really like Regin's game and feel bad for what he's been through. I'd like to see him get one more shot next Fall when he's fully rehabbed.
Filatov would have maximized his earnings a lot better had he done what the coach & GM asked of him and put an effort into becoming the type of player that he has the skill to be. Had he put in the work in the AHL, done what his coach asked of him in the NHL, Filatov would be looking at a multi-year, multi-million dollar contract. Instead, he's toiling away in the Russian minor league. Such a waste of talent.
@havey03 Or he still could have flamed out. At the very least, he probably would have run into similar circumstances that now face Peter Regin. He would have risked being passed in the depth charts by other wingers.